The EV Surge: Reshaping Automotive Norms
Since then, EV sales have experienced exponential growth. Global new EV sales surpassed 1 million in 2017, 2 million in 2018, and 3 million in 2020. Astonishingly, between 2020 and 2021, sales more than doubled, reaching approximately 6.5 million vehicles. According to Bloomberg NEF’s Electric Vehicle Outlook 2023, industry projections estimate that by 2026, EV sales will reach a staggering 27 million units. A separate study by the International Energy Agency (IEA) anticipates a growth of 35% in 2023, with sales expected to reach 14 million.
Notably, several governments and original-equipment manufacturers (OEMs) have made ambitious commitments to phase out internal-combustion engine (ICE) vehicles altogether. While achieving these targets may prove challenging, the consensus among industry experts is that battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) will overtake their hydrocarbon-fueled counterparts within the next two decades.
According to Bloomberg NEF’s report, the share of EVs in global new passenger vehicle sales is projected to surge from 14% in 2022 to 30% in 2026. Specific markets demonstrate even higher penetration rates, with China leading the charge at 52% and Europe closely following at 42%. Remarkably, some European nations, such as the Nordics, are already witnessing an impressive 89% adoption rate, with Germany not far behind at 59%.
The rapid growth of EV registrations can be attributed to a combination of factors. Government regulations, tax incentives, and consumer subsidies aimed at reducing carbon emissions from ICE vehicles have played a pivotal role. However, it is private-sector forces that have truly propelled the EV market forward. Increased customer appeal, driven by high oil prices, improved range, and decreasing price premiums compared to traditional automobiles, has significantly bolstered demand.
Moreover, the auto industry is increasingly embracing the shift towards BEVs. Many original-equipment manufacturers now believe that BEVs will outpace ICE vehicles in the near future. With the expectation that BEVs will achieve price/performance parity with ICE vehicles within the next five to seven years, it is predicted that consumer demand for EVs will skyrocket.
As the world embraces the benefits of electric mobility, the repercussions for the environment and society as a whole are immense. The transition to a predominantly electric passenger vehicle fleet promises to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions, combat climate change, and improve air quality in cities worldwide. The ongoing surge in EV sales marks a remarkable milestone on the road to a sustainable transportation future.
Source: Cling Systems